UK Hotel Investment Reaches New Peaks: A Mid-Year 2024 Analysis

The UK hotel investment market has seen a significant resurgence in the first half of 2024, with Knight Frank reporting that investment volumes reached an impressive £3 billion between January and the end of June. This marks a substantial increase from the £990 million recorded in the same period in 2023 and exceeds the total investment for the whole of last year, which stood at £2 billion. This remarkable growth can be attributed to several key portfolio transactions and the continued interest of international investors, particularly from the United States. 

Major Transactions Driving Growth
The first half of 2024 witnessed some landmark deals that have driven the overall investment volume. Notable transactions include Blackstone’s acquisition of the Village Leisure portfolio for £850 million, Starwood Capital Group’s purchase of 10 Radisson Edwardian Hotels in London for £800 million, and Landsec’s sale of its hotel portfolio to Ares Management for £400 million. These significant portfolio transactions highlight the increasing attractiveness of the UK hotel market to major investors. 

In total, portfolio transactions accounted for 76% of the total transaction volume, a significant rise from 53% in H1 2019. This shift can be partly attributed to the scarcity of high-quality single asset hotels available for sale, which has led to a 19% year-on-year decline in the number of single asset transactions and a 34% decline in transaction volume. 

Focus on London
London continues to be the epicentre of hotel investment activity, attracting around 70% of the total investment in the first half of the year. This focus on the capital is largely driven by overseas investors, who accounted for acquisitions totalling £1.3 billion, with US investors alone representing 77% of the overall investment activity. The city’s enduring appeal as a global financial, political, and cultural centre ensures steady demand and makes it a resilient market through challenging economic conditions. 

However, with Edinburgh once again being given the top spot in Colliers’ UK Hotels Market Index, London has some very strong competition. Edinburgh’s strong performance in Average Rate, Occupancy and RevPAR has helped it secure this position and will serve to further highlight its appeal to further hotel investment. With high land prices and relatively limited RevPAR growth London has slipped down Colliers’ list, while cities like Belfast, Manchester, Liverpool and Glasgow have risen, giving investors further options in the competitive UK market. 

Market Outlook for H2 2024
The outlook for the second half of 2024 remains optimistic. According to Knight Frank, the momentum for investment in the UK hotel sector is expected to continue building, supported by a diverse pool of well-capitalised investors. The anticipated reduction in interest rates is also likely to enhance investor confidence and drive further activity in the market. Stakeholders are increasingly pressuring owners to bring assets to the market at realistic and deliverable levels, which should facilitate successful and timely sales. 

Henry Jackson, partner and head of hotel agency at Knight Frank, stated, “The direction of travel for the sector is positive, and the volume of portfolio transactions is evidence that the sector remains attractive. An increase in the quality and the number of hotels seeking to transact is expected, as hotel owners who have extended their investment cycles now seek to realise their exit strategies”. This sentiment is echoed across the industry, with a strong pipeline of hotels currently in legal stages, suggesting sustained investment momentum. 

Development Pipeline
The UK is also leading Europe in terms of new hotel developments, with the highest number of new projects in the pipeline by the end of the first quarter of 2024. According to Lodging Econometrics, there are 321 projects (45,257 rooms) under development, with London having the highest pipeline by project count in Europe, featuring 80 projects (14,987 rooms). This robust development pipeline indicates a healthy future supply of new hotels, further boosting the attractiveness of the UK market to investors. 

Challenges and Opportunities
While the overall investment landscape is positive, the market is not without its challenges. The lack of quality single asset hotels for sale has been a notable issue, impacting transaction volumes and leading to a greater reliance on portfolio transactions. Additionally, the increased cost of debt and uncertainty around interest rate stability have put many deals on hold, as seen in 2023 when investment volumes hit their lowest in a decade. 

However, the prospect of interest rate cuts is expected to support deal volumes as the year progresses, narrowing the bid-ask gap and aligning buyer and seller expectations more closely. This is crucial for facilitating transactions and driving market activity. 

Conclusion
The first half of 2024 has marked a significant recovery and growth period for the UK hotel investment market, driven by major portfolio transactions and strong international investor interest, particularly from the United States. With London continuing to attract the majority of investment and a robust development pipeline in place, the outlook for the second half of the year is promising. Despite some challenges, such as the scarcity of quality single asset hotels and the high cost of debt, the overall direction for the sector remains positive. As interest rates are expected to decline, further enhancing investor confidence, the UK hotel market is well-positioned for sustained growth and activity in the coming months. 

The Evolving Role and Importance of the Hotel Asset Manager

In the dynamic and ever-changing hospitality industry, the role of the Hotel Asset Manager has become increasingly more visible and vital to the investor, owner and operator relationship.   

For some time, HPG Advisory Services has been familiar with the position, as hotel owners and investors build an independent connection to the day-to-day operations of their properties, while savvy operators prove their commercial acumen by adding this additional skill to their property management arsenal.  

Historically, owners would have liaised directly with hotel General Managers and Finance Directors to measure performance. Over the last 20 years, we have seen the emergence of dedicated Hotel Asset Managers who play a crucial role in maximising profitability, ensuring operational efficiency, enhancing the overall guest experience and ultimately, maximising the return on investment. In an interview with Hotelier Middle East last year, Hospitality Asset Managers Association’s Vice President Amit Nayak said that owners have realised that “you need a certain category of individuals to run your asset, those who understand operations; those who understand corporate finance and lending; and those who understand relationships.” 

Here, we explore the ever-evolving responsibilities and significance of hotel asset managers in the hotel industry. 

Financial Performance and Revenue Optimisation 

One of the primary responsibilities of a hotel asset manager is to drive financial performance and revenue optimisation. With a highly competitive market, rising costs, and fluctuating demand, it has become crucial to engage experts who can analyse data, identify new revenue opportunities, and implement strategies to protect profits. Hotel asset managers work closely with hotel owners, management teams, and other stakeholders to develop comprehensive financial plans, set performance benchmarks, and monitor key performance indicators (KPIs). They provide valuable insights on pricing, revenue management, cost control, and expense reduction to achieve sustainable financial growth. 

Risk Management and Investment Strategy 

As the hospitality industry faces various risks and uncertainties, effective risk management and investment strategy have become paramount. Hotel asset managers are responsible for evaluating potential risks, assessing market conditions, and implementing risk mitigation measures. They play a pivotal role in determining the investment strategy, analysing market trends, conducting feasibility studies, and assessing the viability of expansion projects or acquisitions. By carefully managing risks and making informed investment decisions, hotel asset managers protect the interests of owners and investors while maximising returns. 

Operational Efficiency and Quality Assurance 

 In an era where guest expectations are continuously evolving, operational efficiency, quality assurance and a clear focus on the customer experience are essential for maintaining a competitive edge. Hotel asset managers collaborate with operational teams to streamline processes, enhance productivity, and improve service quality. They implement industry best practices, conduct regular operational audits, and identify areas for improvement. By analysing guest feedback, monitoring online reviews, and benchmarking performance against competitors, hotel asset managers ensure that the hotel maintains high standards of service delivery and guest satisfaction. 

Asset Enhancement and Capital Expenditure 

Hotels require ongoing capital investments and asset enhancements to stay relevant and attractive to guests. Hotel asset managers develop long-term asset enhancement plans, aligning them with the overall business strategy. They identify areas where renovations, technology upgrades, or repositioning efforts can add value and increase profitability. By closely monitoring industry trends and guest preferences, hotel asset managers play a crucial role in guiding capital expenditure decisions that optimise returns and enhance the guest experience. 

Relationship Management and Brand Alignment 

Building and nurturing strong relationships with stakeholders, including hotel owners, operators, brands, and third-party vendors, is a critical aspect of the hotel asset manager’s role. They act as a liaison between owners and operators, ensuring alignment of goals, contractual compliance, and effective communication. Furthermore, they work closely with brand representatives to ensure brand standards are met and brand values are upheld. By fostering collaborative relationships, hotel asset managers create an environment of trust and transparency that leads to successful long-term partnerships. 

Conclusion 

The hotel Asset Manager role has become a multifaceted and indispensable position for many hotel operators, owners and investors. Their expertise in financial management, risk assessment, operational efficiency, and relationship management contributes significantly to the success and sustainability of hotels in a competitive market. The ability to adapt to evolving industry trends, leverage data-driven insights, and make strategic decisions is essential for maximising profitability, enhancing guest experiences, and ensuring long-term success in an uncertain landscape. 

HPG Advisory Services are specialists in the hospitality Investor, Owner and Operator landscape.  If you would like to have a deeper conversation about asset management, or any of the other services we can offer, then please reach out to set up a call. 

Dan Akhtar, Managing Director of HPG Advisory Services +44 20 8600 1166 / +44 7808 157796 / [email protected] 

Hospitality Investment Trends

Last year, HPG Advisory Services looked at the Global Hotel Investment Landscape as international travel was beginning to re-emerge after Covid-19. We explored some of the key considerations for investors and owners and looked at which geographic regions and styles of properties were most likely to see an immediate uplift post-pandemic.  

Since then, consumer confidence towards travel has increased, and as restrictions are being lifted in numerous countries, and many hospitality businesses are reporting a promising return to growth.  

Here, we review the emerging trends and what opportunities the hospitality sector presents in the future. Whilst we’ve taken various insights into consideration, we must acknowledge the ongoing conflict and humanitarian crisis in Ukraine which continues to threaten stability throughout Europe and events there could quickly shift any current trends in unpredictable directions. 

What happened in 2021? 

Firstly, let’s recap on some of the hotel investment highlights from 2021. The Caterer has reported that hotel investment in the UK grew by 84% on 2020 levels and at £4.14 billion, was just shy of the 15-year average. Private equity was particularly interested in regional hotel investment which was particularly buoyant, and it was clear that international investors still see great value in the UK market with investments relatively split between investment from within and from outside the UK. 

The hotel sector has had a resilient year with strong momentum in the final quarter showcasing the appetite for UK hotel assets. While there remains operational challenges in the short-term, investors continue to be positive on the long-term outlook of the sector and we anticipate another strong year in 2022 for the UK hotel investment market.” – Tim Stoyle, Head of UK Hotels at Savills. 

Investor trust also returned to Spain as the €3.19 billion (as noted by Christie & Co.) where investments exceeded pre-pandemic figures. 2020 had seen a strong pull away from urban hotel investment, a trend reinforced by one of HPG’s clients that completed two transactions in the Iberian Peninsula during the pandemic. 

Continuing Trends into 2022 

Recruitment and Retention   

One of the biggest challenges in hospitality, since the start of the pandemic and closure of so many businesses, has been recruiting and retaining employees. Furlough, redundancies and the continuing effects of Brexit forced many front-line employees to either join new industries or return to their home countries, precipitating a perfect storm for the decline in available talent in the hospitality industry.  

As with every challenge, there is an opportunity and any hospitality organisation that can make their business more attractive in what is currently a candidate-driven marketplace will have a huge advantage. Working from home, digital nomads, flexible working and reimagined office space all became the norm during the pandemic. New working trends are condensing the space between business and leisure and the portmanteau Bleisure has re-emerged.  

 Hospitality, especially at the luxury end, has always given employees an insight into a luxury lifestyle and the opportunity to travel or live abroad. Company benefits that replicate this can still be very appealing to potential candidates while also giving them a valuable insight into customer expectations and a road to building empathy and genuine connections with the guests they take care of.  

Hospitality’s Digital Transformation 

Investors will be keeping a keen eye on the increased digital transformation of hospitality service and how they may be able to leverage these digital innovations to drive customer experiences, revenues and return on investment.  

The pandemic was a catalyst for the hospitality industry to accelerate processes for everything from contactless payments to online ordering and mobile hotel check-in. The expectations of digital-savvy customers are very high, but the concept of creating completely new digital experiences to complement the more traditional in-person experiences doesn’t seem quite as far away as it did two years ago. While taking on too much could harm the existing customer experience, successfully integrating innovative, creative and exciting digital experiences could be very tempting to investors, eager to catch the next big wave of this transformation. 

ESG and Property Investment 

We recently explored how the Environmental, Social and Governance strategy of businesses is a key consideration for potential employees when choosing a new organisation to work for. Unsurprisingly, ESG is now playing a large part in how property investors are thinking about their investments. Since property is usually a longer-term investment, ensuring that all new buildings have sustainable credentials and retro-fitting existing buildings with environmentally friendly features will help future-proof their investment. 

ESG Investment Funds are also increasingly popular and have rewarded investors with solid returns over the last few years. Larger Hospitality chains, who form part of these funds are often keen to ensure that the hospitality operations are aligned to the expectations of these funds manager and investors. As a result, the role of Hotel Asset Management has become increasingly popular as owners look to listen to the market in order to protect their assets and drive growth.  

General Investor Trends 

The recent 2022 Knight Frank Wealth Report looked at investment trends for popular luxury items such as art, whisky, classic cars, diamonds, wine and watches. While these investors had different experiences through the pandemic, they all seem to be predicting some sort of future that embraces digital transformations with Cryptocurrency, NFTs and the Metaverse featuring heavily. Many investors appear to be dipping their toes into this area so as to not be left behind, but the majority seem to have little understanding of how this digital future might actually play out. In many ways, the future is unwritten and it will be the innovators that best capture their moment that will ultimately succeed.  

HPG Advisory Services have exceptional industry relationships and proven successes with operators, developers and investors in the hotel, and hospitality sectors across Europe, Middle East, Africa, Asia and the Caribbean. Our services include executive search, human capital architecture, talent management consultancy, behavioural profiling and a range of human capital services tailored to meet the specific challenges of each of our clients.   

We are proud to have delivered some of the industry’s most talented leaders into key appointments. If you’re looking to build, strengthen or diversify a role, a team or your entire business, please contact us today.  

Dan Akhtar, Managing Director of HPG Advisory Services +44 20 8600 1166 / +44 7808 157796 / [email protected] 

Executive Vice President

Client background:
A significant global hotel management company specialising in professional management for franchised, luxury, select service, and lifestyle hotel brands.

With a distinct portfolio of over 1,500 branded and independent hotels globally, our client represents a talented team of 3,000 hospitality specialists who create a seamless guest experience and pride themselves in delivering outstanding service.

Our mandate was to execute an international executive search for a candidate to take full responsibility for our client’s international division and secure someone capable of leading all aspects of the business and driving continuous growth. Our client had recently merged with another major hotel group and the focus was to now find a development-driven candidate who could leverage opportunities in the market and substantially expand the portfolio.

Success:
Following a rigorous global search of the market, our client was delighted to appoint an entrepreneurial leader, with over 25 years of experience, who had held multiple senior roles with leading international hotel groups.

Operating in both branded and independent properties, our candidate has led companies within multiple structures, including owned and operated, hotel management agreements and franchises. Most recently our candidate led a luxury hotel and leisure group, leading a team of over 3,500 employees.

Commencing in this new role at the end of 2021, our candidate is working closely with the board to define and develop the strategy for growth.

Briefing: Hospitality leadership is more than revenue management

A survey published in the Harvard Business Review has revealed that the top two leadership qualities, as rated by global leaders, are having ‘high ethical and moral standards’ and ‘providing goals and objectives with loose guidelines/direction’. In hospitality, leaders at hotel management level and brand executive level have different but equally important roles to play in the success of a business.

In these videos industry experts discuss the importance of good leadership in hospitality:

In 2016, 89% of companies see leadership as an important or very important issue (up from 87% in 2015). That is according to Deloitte’s Global Human Capital Trends 2016.

As a business or industry develops leaders must be able to change and learn. This was reflected in the number four choice in the HBR survey; having ‘the flexibility to change opinion’.

One report that focused on leadership in a world of change is IBMs Global C-suite Study. This found that today’s CEOs say technology is the chief external influence on their enterprises. They think that user-based mobile solutions and cloud computing will be big drivers of change. 82% of the CEOs surveyed expect to engage more digitally over the next 3 to 5 years.

If you’ve been sent to this page and you’re not yet on the circulation list to receive these regular briefings and you would like to sign up, you can do see here. It’s free.

Video clips produced by ybc.tv for the Hospitality Channel, including interview from industry conferences such as the IHIF conference as well as specific Hospitality Channel shoots.

Briefing: appreciating the growth opportunities in Africa

The Tipping Point for Africa has been imminent for a long time. The continent clearly holds huge opportunities, but the complexity and size of the 50+ countries means it is often very difficult to get product there. Having said that, many Governments are working together to try to encourage and break down the barriers for investment, as explained by Dr Nelson Githinji, the Tourism Secretary for Kenya.

For whatever reason, some African countries currently have no branded hotel product within their borders at all and although there are intricacies which need to be ironed out, you certainly shouldn’t dismiss Africa. Reasons why are explained in this briefing by:

  • Patrick Fitzgibbon, SVP Development – Europe & Africa of Hilton Worldwide describes the plethora of opportunity on the continent.
  • Dr Nelson Githinji, Tourism Secretary of the Ministry for Tourism – Kenya, on the concessions for those who invest.
  • Jalil Mekouar, of Jones Lang LaSalle Hotels on the resurgence of curiosity seen for Africa
  • And Joy Albright of the African Export-Import Bank on where she sees the appetite for investment

If you’ve been sent to this page but you’re not yet on the circulation list to receive these regular briefings and you would like to sign up, you can do so here. It’s free.

Video clips produced by ybc.hpgcms.wpengine.com for the Hospitality Channel, including interviews from industry conferences such as the most recent IHIF conference as well as specific Hospitality Channel shoots.

Briefing: hospitality being noticed by global Governments

One of the biggest problems hospitality has is demonstrating to the Government’s of the World the value the industry brings to their economies. Hospitality seems to continually fall off the radar when it comes to the key drivers of change and growth across the World.

With the work of Taleb Rifai at the UNWTO and David Scowsill of the WTTC the industry is beginning to put its head above the parapet and be noticed.

In this briefing we hear from:

  • Taleb Rifai on the UNWTO and the WTTC tackling Governments together.
  • David Scowsill of the WTTC on how much tourism generates for the global economy.
  • Ed Fuller, former MD at Marriott International on the need for Governments to help the industry.
  • And Sir Nigel Knowles, co-CEO of DLA Piper LLP on problems faced by Governments at the moment.

If you’ve been sent to this page but you’re not yet on the circulation list to receive these regular briefings and you would like to sign up, you can do so here. It’s free.

Video clips produced by ybc.hpgcms.wpengine.com for the Hospitality Channel, including interviews from industry conferences such as the most recent IHIF conference as well as specific Hospitality Channel shoots.

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